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Hace 4 días · Graph and download economic data for NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (USREC) from Dec 1854 to May 2024 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and USA.
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Usrecq - NBER based Recession Indicators for the United...
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Usrecp - NBER based Recession Indicators for the United...
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Usrecm - NBER based Recession Indicators for the United...
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Graph and download economic data for NBER based Recession...
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3,071 economic data series with tag: NBER. FRED: Download,...
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Graph and download economic data for Dates of U.S....
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Hace 5 días · Graph and download economic data for NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough (USRECDM) from 1854-12-01 to 2024-06-02 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and USA.
Hace 4 días · View an estimate of the probability of recession based on employment, industrial production, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.
Hace 3 días · All six recessions going back to the mid-1970s, when the two-year/10-year yield curve can first be traced, have also followed inversion. But the problem is timing the turn.
Hace 4 días · Smaller foreign term spreads do not lead to significant U.S. Dollar depreciation but do lead to persistent declines in U.S. exports and foreign direct investment (FDI) flows into the United States. These findings are consistent with the proposition that foreign term spreads embed growth spillovers from the U.S. and the resulting Dollar strength and slowdown abroad spill back to the United States.
Hace 2 días · Still, all told, the U.S. economy shrank 2-1/2 percent last year. The toll on workers has been immense. The unemployment rate quickly rose to nearly 15 percent—actually, closer to 20 percent when you account for measurement issues. By the end of last year, it had improved to 6.7 percent.
Hace 5 días · Despite the strength of consumer spending and a lot of good historical data, higher interest rates are affecting housing and other construction activities. We should see slower growth in the first half of 2024. Some states, because of their strength and population growth, will prosper.
