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  1. www.climate.gov › news-features › blogsDecember 2023 El Niño update: adventure! | NOAA Climate.gov

    13 de dic. de 2023 · Published December 13, 2023. Comments: 34. El Niño is zipping along in the tropical Pacific. There’s a 54% chance that this El Niño event will end up “historically strong” (more details below), potentially ranking in the top 5 on record. Looking ahead, it’s likely that El Niño will end and neutral conditions return by April­–June.

  2. www.science.org › doi › 10The 2023 extreme coastal El Niño: Atmospheric and air-sea ... -...

    22 de mar. de 2024 · This type of phenomenon, distinguished by its distinct evolution, spatial pattern, dynamics, and impacts from basin-scale El Niño events, is categorized as a coastal El Niño (5–7).Similar extreme events occurred in 1925 and 2017 (6, 8, 9).Some studies show that intraseasonal downwelling Kelvin waves (6, 10, 11) trigger the coastal El Niño, and coastal Bjerknes feedback further amplifies it.

  3. theconversation.com › four-possible-consequences-of-el-nino-returning-in-2023-198105Four possible consequences of El Niño returning in 2023 - The...

    26 de ene. de 2023 · The largest effect is observed in northern Europe, however, where winters become drier and colder. A frosty 2023-24 winter season is likely if El Niño ramps up sufficiently by then.

  4. www.climate.gov › news-features › blogsMay 2023 ENSO update: El Niño knocking on the door

    11 de may. de 2023 · The possibility of a significant El Niño is also growing. Following the method described in Tom’s post, the current chance for a strong El Niño (Niño-3.4 index greater than 1.5 °C) is approximately 55%, which is up almost 15% since last month. We may have a better handle on the potential strength of this event, assuming it develops (still a 5-10% chance it doesn’t!), once we fully get ...

  5. www.inverse.com › science › el-nino-2023-region-changesEl Niño 2023: Here's How the Global Weather Phenomenon Could ......

    20 de feb. de 2024 · Watching El Niño develop in the tropical Pacific, January to June 2023. The box shows the Niño3.4 region. NOAA. For a strong El Niño, the Niño3.4 region needs to warm by 2.7 F (1.5 C) for ...

  6. www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov › products › analysis_monitoringClimate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

    La Niña generalmente tiende a seguir eventos fuertes de El Niño, lo que también provee confianza en la guía de modelo favoreciendo La Niña. En resumen, una transición de El Niño a ENSO-neutral es probable en el próximo mes. La Niña pudiera desarrollarse en junio-agosto 2024 (49% de probabilidad) o julio-septiembre (69% de probabilidad; ).

  7. www.rappler.com › nation › weatherPAGASA: El Niño starting to weaken, but La Niña may occur ... -...

    7 de mar. de 2024 · The 2023-2024 El Niño is 'one of the five strongest on record,' based on World Meteorological Organization data. Meanwhile, there is a 55% chance of La Niña developing in June-July-August 2024.